Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.929927 2.308767 2.734050 3.245603 3.842935 4.517034 5.334011
2026-01-25 1.324992 1.786022 2.360299 3.123278 4.104800 5.318846 6.927268
2026-02-01 0.963021 1.435605 2.077630 3.003074 4.290205 6.002207 8.433590
2026-02-08 0.758369 1.232612 1.926218 2.996736 4.584771 6.825822 10.191789
2026-02-15 0.616651 1.082812 1.810665 3.003309 4.873920 7.650783 12.023911
2026-02-22 0.502462 0.948048 1.687023 2.965823 5.075025 8.350880 13.730997
2026-03-01 0.395924 0.801417 1.514416 2.814657 5.064231 8.710086 14.937419
2026-03-08 0.329744 0.711878 1.420544 2.775394 5.221657 9.338594 16.617290
2026-03-15 0.279613 0.641698 1.347707 2.758335 5.407937 10.024207 18.446711
2026-03-22 0.258309 0.625037 1.371628 2.920574 5.929007 11.325459 21.434271
2026-03-29 0.231819 0.591603 1.356323 3.003253 6.309217 12.411022 24.138281
2026-04-05 0.212707 0.570606 1.362503 3.127930 6.780814 13.701078 27.315548
2026-04-12 0.185316 0.525228 1.311151 3.130362 7.019807 14.597555 29.882313
2026-04-19 0.154287 0.463789 1.213655 3.019604 7.015416 15.030802 31.621895
2026-04-26 0.128291 0.408996 1.121379 2.905336 6.987039 15.410022 33.286176
2026-05-03 0.112287 0.377576 1.079558 2.899900 7.190718 16.269612 35.966038
2026-05-10 0.099113 0.351038 1.045155 2.906501 7.420555 17.201662 38.867598
2026-05-17 0.085958 0.321148 0.996481 2.870187 7.546516 17.924090 41.394434
2026-05-24 0.070686 0.280228 0.909952 2.723499 7.393259 18.027564 42.623899
2026-05-31 0.061366 0.256549 0.867375 2.685402 7.496805 18.703776 45.135111
2026-06-07 0.053955 0.237478 0.834637 2.668850 7.651255 19.507044 47.987445
2026-06-14 0.052030 0.238243 0.862475 2.826300 8.266990 21.423289 53.467300
2026-06-21 0.048250 0.230850 0.863431 2.906548 8.690278 22.923501 58.114679